Demographic ageing in Baden-Wuerttemberg, a federal state of Germany Population projection and small scale analysis

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F. Fischer, “Demographic ageing in Baden-Wuerttemberg, a federal state of Germany Population projection and small scale analysis”, ijmhs, vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 136–145, Aug. 2015.
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Abstract

Objectives: To present the ageing population of Baden-Wuerttemberg, a federal state of Germany, recent development of changes in the population structure will be shown and projected. In order to highlight regional differences, characteristics of ageing were also calculated at the district level for 2011. Methods: The data for the population projection and small scale analysis was provided by the Statistical Office of Baden-Wuerttemberg. Results: The population projection indicates a population decline. An increase in the number of old people and a decline in the age group below 60 years are obvious. The analysis of the age structure on a small scale level based on districts indicated significant regional differences in 2011. Comparatively, low age dependency ratios primarily exist in regions in which there are larger cities with universities. Discussion: Targeted measures are needed in several districts of Baden-Wuerttemberg to tackle these challenges and to reduce the negative impact of ageing.

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